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Hollywood, the Deals, and the Culture

The deals, and what actually happened

Chapter 123

3 min read

Reviewed v78 · August 2026

Behind the manifestos, the studios made moves, and the moves are more instructive than the speeches.

The first was Lionsgate and Runway, in September 2024: a major studio would let Runway train a custom video model on its twenty-thousand-title library. It became the cautionary tale. By mid-2025 the trades reported it had underdelivered, the library was too small to train a competitive model and the rights questions were thorny, and by June 2026 the deal was restructured into an equity stake and a co-production arrangement. The lesson the industry drew was that a studio's back catalog is not, by itself, a moat.

Netflix went the other way and simply used the tools. On a July 2025 earnings call, co-chief executive Ted Sarandos revealed the first generative-AI final footage in a Netflix original, a building collapse in the Argentine series The Eternaut, made, he said, roughly ten times faster than a traditional pipeline. A year later Netflix said that around three hundred of its 2026 titles used generative-AI-assisted workflows, mostly in post-production. Quietly, Netflix became the largest real deployment in the industry.

The whiplash episode was Disney and OpenAI. In December 2025 Bob Iger and Sam Altman jointly announced a deal: a reported one-billion-dollar Disney investment in OpenAI plus a three-year license letting Sora users generate more than two hundred Disney characters, explicitly excluding talent likenesses and voices. The Writers Guild called it sanctioning 'theft of our work.' Then, in 2026, OpenAI wound down consumer Sora, the app going dark on April 26, and the partnership died with it, before the character integration shipped. Reporting says the money never changed hands and that Disney was told barely an hour before OpenAI went public. Disney's actual strategy was enforce-then-license: it had sued Midjourney and the Chinese video firm MiniMax and sent cease-and-desists to Character.AI, while cutting exactly one controlled paid deal, and even that one collapsed from the model company's side.

Two more milestones matter. The single largest-grossing AI production is not a film at all: the Sphere in Las Vegas expanded the 1939 Wizard of Oz to its wraparound screen using Google's generative models, and it has taken in more than three hundred and seventy million dollars. And the first fully AI-generated feature to reach a real theatrical release was Post Truth, which opened on fifty-eight screens in Turkey in July 2025. OpenAI's own animated feature, Critterz, made for under thirty million dollars, was shopped at the Cannes market in 2026, kept in production even after OpenAI killed the Sora app that helped make it.

The pattern under the noise is clear. The safe, real value is AI as a pre-production and post-production accelerant inside existing pipelines, which is what Netflix, Wētā, and Lionsgate's restructured deal actually do. The splashy consumer bet, Sora and its Disney license, is the part that blew up.

Check your understanding

pass: 5 of 7

Answer at least 5 of 7 correctly to unlock the next chapter.

  1. 1. What lesson did the industry draw from the Lionsgate-Runway deal?

  2. 2. How did Netflix approach generative AI differently from Lionsgate?

  3. 3. What was Disney's actual strategy, beyond the OpenAI announcement?

  4. 4. What is the largest-grossing AI production, which is not a film at all?

  5. 5. What is the clear pattern under the noise of the deals?

  6. 6. What happened to the Disney-OpenAI partnership?

  7. 7. What was notable about the theatrical feature Post Truth?

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